Primary Predictions

[PrincessFiona]

Who do you think will win the democratic and republican primaries?

repubs: McCain
dems: Obama

Kris

[Vanquisher]

Re: Primary Predictions

McCain and Clinton

Re: Primary Predictions

Who do you think will win the democratic and republican primaries?

repubs: McCain
dems: Obama

Kris

I sure hope so , anyone but Hilary... - hope personal opinions are ok in this question

edited to say I think it too will be Obama and McCain. I know Hilary is strong right now, but to many people are tired of the US czar families: Clinton and Bush, that I really do think the campaign of "change" is going to, in the end throw out Clinton as a btdt. Obama is just to charismatic, a fab speaker like Pres Bill Clinton was, and young, different, that I think in the end it will pull in the ticket. But we'll see....

And in the end I think Romney doesn't have the "it" factor people are looking for, Huckabee is just to right winged for a majority vote IMO and is leaning to much on the pastor bit. Though Huckabee is funny as all getout on the Colbert Report, and if he gets the vote, Stephen is coming with him..., so maybe he will get the ticket

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiMc-WGVmsY


McCain was great in the past and he went to in the middle over what the last two years. All in all though, for the ticket I think he'll win - he's an honest guy, wants things to be on the up and up (campaign reform) , doesn't pat people on the back with answers like Romney gave to the economic dying area of Michigan (anyone following the pull to keep car manufacter jobs here knows that it was really looking bad what 5 years ago, and all efforts are pretty much gone now, in more than just Michigan, but definately felt the worst there with the what 7% unemployment rate?), and to top it off he was a POW. In the end he has credibility, and stability overall, is know buy everyone for years, and Romney has not. I would be shocked if McCain lost to Romney. I mean who cares about putting the Olympics together? Then again, who thought owning baseball team would do anything for you

[GrayMatterWife]

Re: Primary Predictions

McCain and Clinton

Lookin' that way to me, too, at this point. But, geez, it is still up-in-the-air. Kind of nice not to have pre-ordained winners.

[Rapunzel]

Re: Primary Predictions

Romney and Clinton

Romney has been ahead most of the time - still is. Romney has support from solid Republicans - McCain from independents. From here on out the vast majority of the states only allow registered Republicans to vote in their state primaries. McCain didn't even win all of the states that let independents (ie unregistered Republicans) vote in their primaries. Interestingly enough, the people who have given Huckabee his single win (ie those who describe themselves as evangelical Christians) came out in support of Romney in Michigan. McCain was one of only two Republicans to vote against Bush's tax relief that has so much positive feedback from Republicans. That's going to play a bigger and bigger role in upcoming states. The economy is the most important factor for most voters and Romney wins polls when it comes to the subject of the economy.

People recognize that Romney is Mr. Fixit. He fixes things - that's his entire career. McCain is a career politician who divorced his first wife to marry this current wife for her political connections. Romney knows the economy and finance backwards and forwards - that was his job at Bain Capital. McCain knows how to play politics. I think people see that - and that is why Romney has more than twice as many delegates as McCain.

Romney has been solidly in the lead this entire time (although, the media isn't playing it that way). He has won two states and now has twice as many delegates as the next person behind him (which is Huckabee). McCain is third with his smaller amount of delegates.

McCain is a Democrat's dream - because Hillary Clinton AND Barrack Obama could squash him like a bug.

Another plus for Romney is that he has no skeletons in his closet. McCain's been involved in too many scandals (including possible federal crimes stemming from his wife's drug abuse).

McCain will NOT get the nomination and the more I find out about the man the more I am quite happy about that. I knew very little about him prior to this election cycle and he is quite a distasteful figure - as much so as Mrs. Clinton ever could be.

Despite current problems with Obama I am still convinced Clinton will get the nomination. We'll have to see how much bad publicity she gets from the entire Nevada/casino lawsuit going on.

[DCJenn]

Re: Primary Predictions

McCain/Lieberman

Obama/Richardson

and I'm sticking to it until proven otherwise.

Jenn

[GrayMatterWife]

Re: Primary Predictions

McCain/Lieberman

Obama/Richardson

and I'm sticking to it until proven otherwise.

Jenn

Interesting! Neither would surprise me, really!

[Rapunzel]

Re: Primary Predictions

I think Huckabee is running for the position of McCain's VP.

Huckabee is a smart guy - and I think he knows that he's pretty much going to only win a couple more (Southern) states. He had a lot of steam in Iowa and I bet he will for a few more states (again, Southern). And, after that he will putter out.

He and McCain have seemed to tag-team through the primaries thus far. I think McCain, if he got the nomination (shudder - although all Democrats should be happy if that were to happen) would see a need for a Huckabee: He needs a person who comes across as "conservative" (since McCain is not on some important subjects - such as the economy), appeals to southern voters, appeals to highly religious Protestants, and has a lot more personality than he. I also get the drift that McCain would need a VP who was fairly subservient to him.

[Phoebe]

Re: Primary Predictions

Can I say I don't know who will win? Athough I know who I want to win?

[mommax3]

Re: Primary Predictions

I agree with Kris.....McCain and Obama.

Sally

Re: Primary Predictions

Another plus for Romney is that he has no skeletons in his closet

really???

HELLO PEOPLE PLEASE CLICK THE BELLOW LINK, shocking from a Mormon, no?

http://online.logcabin.org/assets/image ... eekend.jpg

http://online.logcabin.org/mitt-romneys-flip-flops.html

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,236499,00.html

Hum... interesting. I read about this in another source, and thought it was odd that a Mormon would start out pro abortion, pro gay rights - and later change to a more conservative opinion.
oh here is another one

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=56668

GOVERNOR ROMNEY: "Last year the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court struck a blow against the family, as I'm sure you know. The court forgot that [traditional] marriage is first and foremost about nurturing and developing children. Its ruling meant that our society is supposed to be indifferent about whether children have a mother and a father." (Governor Mitt Romney, Boston Globe, 3/2/05

from http://www.mittromney.com

yet here he says The governor returned earlier this week from a trip to Asia.

"As a result of our discussions and other interactions with gay and lesbian voters across the state, I am more convinced than ever before that as we seek to establish full equality for America's gays and lesbian citizens, I will provide more effective leadership than my opponent," Romney wrote in the letter

from the above link:
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,236499,00.html

I prefer people to just say what they think, instead of trying to become "electable"

[GrayMatterWife]

Re: Primary Predictions

I like McCain. I like Clinton. If it came down to those two battling it out for President, I'm not sure who I would vote for, to be honest.

That's very interesting, since they differ so profoundly in their positions on so many issues.

But, you know, I've seen a lot of that this election. Going into the NH primary, a lot of people were vascillating between Obama and McCain...I thought, What the heck??? That's like saying, "I want either a light dinner of soup or a twelve-course formal meal, but it will be one or the other"...it's like people had no idea what they were in the mood for. A fiscally conservative hawk or a tax-increasing, wealth-redistribution-promoting dove? How could they be more different..and how could you not be sure of at leat which way you lean?

Then it hit me. People may be less interested in what their leader posits as versus whether they can feel confident in that person's ability to lead--somewhere...anywhere! Just be in charge and confident. Both McCain and Obama seem like they'd be confident leaders, so I guess, from that perspective, I can see how people can be torn between two candidates that have--by American political standards--opposite theories about the role of government and American in the world.

[Rapunzel]

Re: Primary Predictions

Skeletons in one's closet are not your political positions.

Skeletons in one's closet include things like the "Keating 5" scandal. Look it up.



And, what's up with attacking Romney based on his religion?

Romney had a family member die of a botched abortion when he was younger and that strongly influenced his personal views of abortion. As he matured he altered his views - years ago.

My opinion on abortion has also changed over the last decade.

And, concerning religion and politics, Senator Harry Reid is the Democratic party leader of the Senate, pro-abortion (or is that anti-anti-abortion?) and he's "Mormon".

There is no law that says a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints has to be in a particular political party.


Regarding the specific political position mentioned above: No, Romney does not support homosexual marriage. He got into hot water here in Massachusetts when he was governor because of his position and the action he took. I do not see anywhere in the quote above that states he does support homosexual marriage.

And, btw, that is not what qualifies as a "skeleton" in the closet.

[Rapunzel]

Re: Primary Predictions

Oh, my sister in law is also a devout LDS ("Mormon"), very liberal, pro-abortion "rights", etc.

It's perfectly OK to be LDS and a Democrat, liberal, Green, etc.

[Rapunzel]

Re: Primary Predictions

Romney ran against Senator Edward M. Kennedy in 1994. During a debate, Romney declared: "I believe that abortion should be safe and legal in this country. I have since the time that my mom took that position when she ran in 1970 as a US Senate candidate. I believe that since Roe v. Wade has been the law for 20 years we should sustain and support it."
- Boston Globe, March 2, 2006

So, Romney's religion was brought up as to why these quotes are "wrong". Here's the "Mormon" perspective on the above quote:

1) You can definitely believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country and be a devout LDS. Heck, I am incredibly anti-abortion-on-demand but I believe abortion should be safe and legal in this country. There are times when it is medically necessary to induce an abortion in order to save the life of the mother. Our church leaders agree with this as well.

2) As LDS we are to sustain and support the law. It's one of our articles of faith. It doesn't preclude changing the law and it doesn't mean we might like the law in question - but he was simply repeating our basic belief that we should sustain the law of the land. And, as it stands, Roe v. Wade is the current law of the land.